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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in September 2026, with a middle field date of September 20, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (September 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 31% to 29% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 15%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▲1 LPC 29% ▼2 CPC 15% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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241 LPC 66 CPC 18 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 53 18 6 1 ON 104 14 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 27 8 2 BC 30 7 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll September 20, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▲2 LPC 21% ▼1 CPC 14% ▼1 NDP 3% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Quebec 46% ▲1 LPC 26% ▲1 BQ 15% ▼3 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼2 CPC 16% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 40% ▼2 CPC 38% ▲1 LPC 16% ▲1 NDP 3% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Alberta 49% ▼2 CPC 31% ▲1 LPC 14% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲1 LPC 28% ▼2 CPC 22% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 51% ▲1 LPC 24% ▼1 CPC 17% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼2 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 36% ▲1 LPC 26% ▼2 CPC 25% ▲1 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼2 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 58% ▲2 LPC 25% ▼2 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% ▼1 Approve 29% ▲1 Disapprove 7% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 29%2026-09-20 65% 28%2026-09-13 66% 27%2026-09-06 66% 26%2026-08-30 64% 27%2026-08-23 59% 31%2026-08-16 60% 31%2026-08-09 57% 33%2026-08-01 57% 34%2026-07-26 56% 35%2026-07-19 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% Negative / unfavourable 36% ▲1 Positive / favourable 13% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 51%2026-09-20 35% 51%2026-09-13 36% 51%2026-09-06 34% 54%2026-08-30 33% 55%2026-08-23 34% 54%2026-08-16 35% 53%2026-08-09 34% 53%2026-08-01 34% 52%2026-07-26 36% 51%2026-07-19 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 39% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure 31% ▼1 Positive / favourable 30% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-20 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 31% 30%2026-09-20 32% 30%2026-09-13 31% 30%2026-09-06 30% 31%2026-08-30 30% 31%2026-08-23 31% 30%2026-08-16 31% 29%2026-08-09 30% 30%2026-08-01 30% 29%2026-07-26 29% 27%2026-07-19 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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