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Québec solidaire

Latest update: August 28, 2026
LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection9.8% ± 1.8%
Current number of MNA's11
Current seat projection9 [3-11]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | August 28, 2026 15 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 1.7 seat/% [3-11] 10% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | August 28, 2026

6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 7.9% ▼ 9.8% ± 1.8% ▼ Max. 11.6% ▼ Probabilities % QS August 28, 2026

Seat projection | August 28, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 3 ▼ 9 ▼ Max. 11 ▼ 2022 11 seats Probabilities % QS August 28, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Québec solidaire


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Gouin QS safe 1 GOUI 2. Mercier QS safe 2 MERC 3. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 3 SMSJ 4. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning 4 HOMA 5. Taschereau QS leaning 5 TASH 6. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 6 LAUD 7. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS 7 JLES 8. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 8 ROSE 9. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 9 SHSA 10. Verdun Likely LIB 10 VERD 11. Sherbrooke Leaning PQ 11 SHER 12. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ 12 MAUR 13. Viau Safe LIB 13 VIAU 14. Saint-François Likely PQ 14 STFR 15. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ 15 ROUY 16. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 16 MROU 17. Rimouski Safe PQ 17 RIMO 18. Richmond Leaning CAQ 18 RCHM 19. Orford Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 19 ORFO 20. Ungava Toss up PQ/CAQ 20 UNGA 21. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 21 PATR 22. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB 22 ANLR 23. Granby Likely CAQ 23 GRBY 24. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 24 MVIC 25. Hull Safe LIB 25 HULL 26. Abitibi-Ouest Leaning CAQ 26 ABIO 27. Chapleau Likely CAQ 27 CHAP 28. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Leaning PQ 28 RDLT 29. Montarville Leaning CAQ 29 MTRV 30. Daniel-Johnson Likely CAQ 30 DAJO 31. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 31 BROM 32. Iberville Leaning CAQ 32 IBER 33. Acadie Safe LIB 33 ACAD 34. Borduas Leaning CAQ 34 BORD 35. Papineau Likely CAQ 35 PAPI 36. La Prairie Leaning CAQ 36 LAPR 37. Saint-Jérôme Leaning PQ 37 STJR 38. Bellefeuille Toss up PQ/CAQ 38 BELF 39. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 39 LAPO 40. Saint-Hyacinthe Leaning PQ 40 STHY 41. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 41 NODG 42. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 42 CHBY 43. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 43 LASS 44. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 44 BOUS 45. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 45 CAML 46. Taillon Likely PQ 46 TAIL 47. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 47 JTAL 48. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 48 HUNT 49. Charlesbourg Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 49 CHAR 50. Mégantic Leaning CAQ 50 MEGA 51. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CAQ 51 MLGL 52. Gatineau Leaning LIB 52 GATI 53. Drummond–Bois-Francs Leaning PQ 53 DRUM 54. Vachon Likely PQ 54 VACH 55. Sanguinet Likely PQ 55 SANG 56. Verchères Leaning PQ 56 VERC 57. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 57 BEAU 58. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Likely PQ 58 CXCB 59. Abitibi-Est Toss up PQ/CAQ 59 ABIE 60. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CAQ 60 LHEB 61. Berthier Likely PQ 61 BRTH 62. Prévost Likely PQ 62 PREV 63. Marquette Safe LIB 63 MARQ 64. Saint-Jean Likely PQ 64 STJN 65. Vanier-Les Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 65 VALR 66. Jonquière Likely PQ 66 JONQ 67. Labelle Likely PQ 67 LABL 68. Bertrand Likely PQ 68 BERT 69. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 69 WSTL 70. La Pinière Safe LIB 70 LAPI 71. Trois-Rivières Leaning CAQ 71 TRIV 72. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 72 JMVI 73. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 73 CHPN 74. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 74 STLR 75. Groulx Toss up PQ/CAQ 75 GROU 76. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 76 MARG 77. Maskinongé Toss up PQ/CAQ 77 MASK 78. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up CAQ/CPQ 78 CHCH 79. Montmorency PCQ leaning 79 MOMO 80. Chauveau PCQ likely 80 CHAU 81. Châteauguay Likely LIB 81 CHAT 82. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 82 LVSM 83. Portneuf PCQ likely 83 PORT 84. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 84 CÔDS 85. Repentigny Toss up PQ/CAQ 85 REPE 86. Lévis Toss up CAQ/CPQ 86 LEVI 87. Laval-des-Rapides Toss up LIB/PQ 87 LVDR 88. Blainville Toss up PQ/CAQ 88 BLAI 89. Rousseau Toss up PQ/CAQ 89 ROUS 90. LaFontaine Safe LIB 90 LAFO 91. Dubuc Likely PQ 91 DUBU 92. La Peltrie PCQ likely 92 LAPE 93. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 93 DAMC 94. Deux-Montagnes Leaning PQ 94 DMON 95. Pontiac Safe LIB 95 PONT 96. Les Plaines Toss up PQ/CAQ 96 LPLA 97. Richelieu Likely PQ 97 RCHL 98. Joliette Safe PQ 98 JOLI 99. Masson Toss up PQ/CAQ 99 MASS 100. Mille-Îles Likely LIB 100 MILI 101. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 101 MIRA 102. Chicoutimi Likely PQ 102 CHIC 103. Terrebonne Toss up PQ/CAQ 103 TERR 104. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning 104 LOTF 105. Bonaventure Safe PQ 105 BONA 106. Sainte-Rose Leaning CAQ 106 STRO 107. Gaspé Safe PQ 107 GASP 108. René-Lévesque Toss up PQ/CAQ 108 RENE 109. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 109 NICO 110. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 110 VAUD 111. Soulanges Likely LIB 111 SOUL 112. Roberval Likely PQ 112 ROBV 113. Duplessis Toss up PQ/CAQ 113 DUPL 114. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 114 BEAN 115. Vimont-Auteuil Leaning LIB 115 VIMO 116. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 116 IDLM 117. Argenteuil Likely PQ 117 ARGE 118. Fabre Likely LIB 118 FABR 119. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 119 MAMA 120. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely 120 BEAS 121. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 121 LASJ 122. Bellechasse PCQ safe 122 BELL 123. Arthabaska-L’Érable Leaning PQ 123 ARTH 124. Chomedey Safe LIB 124 CHOM 125. Nelligan Safe LIB 125 NELL 126. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 126 BALD 127. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 127 JACA 338Canada Quebec projection Updated August 28, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Gouin
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
 QS QS safe
2.
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
3.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
4.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS leaning
5.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS leaning
6.
Laurier-Dorion
Andrès Fontecilla
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
7.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
8.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
9.
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
10.
Verdun
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
 QS Likely LIB
11.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Leaning PQ
12.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning PQ
13.
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Safe LIB
14.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Likely PQ