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Parti Québécois

Latest update: August 28, 2026
LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection28.7% ± 3.5%
Current number of MNA's7
Current seat projection48 [29-69]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | August 28, 2026 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% Majority: 64 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 5.7 seat/% [29-69] 29% ± 4% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | August 28, 2026

21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 25.2% ▼ 28.7% ± 3.5% ▼ Max. 32.3% ▼ Probabilities % PQ August 28, 2026

Seat projection | August 28, 2026

3 8 13 18 23 28 33 38 43 48 53 58 63 68 73 78 83 88 93 3% 2% 1% 2022 3 seats Min. 29 ▼ 48 ▼ Majority 64 seats Max. 69 ▼ Probabilities % PQ August 28, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Parti Québécois


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 1 MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 2 IDLM 3. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 3 CAML 4. Bonaventure Safe PQ 4 BONA 5. Rimouski Safe PQ 5 RIMO 6. Gaspé Safe PQ 6 GASP 7. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 7 PATR 8. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 8 LASJ 9. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 9 MVIC 10. Joliette Safe PQ 10 JOLI 11. Saint-Jean Likely PQ 11 STJN 12. Taillon Likely PQ 12 TAIL 13. Chicoutimi Likely PQ 13 CHIC 14. Roberval Likely PQ 14 ROBV 15. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Likely PQ 15 CXCB 16. Prévost Likely PQ 16 PREV 17. Argenteuil Likely PQ 17 ARGE 18. Labelle Likely PQ 18 LABL 19. Dubuc Likely PQ 19 DUBU 20. Jonquière Likely PQ 20 JONQ 21. Bertrand Likely PQ 21 BERT 22. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 22 JTAL 23. Vachon Likely PQ 23 VACH 24. Saint-François Likely PQ 24 STFR 25. Richelieu Likely PQ 25 RCHL 26. Berthier Likely PQ 26 BRTH 27. Sanguinet Likely PQ 27 SANG 28. Saint-Jérôme Leaning PQ 28 STJR 29. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ 29 MAUR 30. Sherbrooke Leaning PQ 30 SHER 31. Saint-Hyacinthe Leaning PQ 31 STHY 32. Arthabaska-L’Érable Leaning PQ 32 ARTH 33. Deux-Montagnes Leaning PQ 33 DMON 34. Verchères Leaning PQ 34 VERC 35. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 35 LVSM 36. Drummond–Bois-Francs Leaning PQ 36 DRUM 37. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Leaning PQ 37 RDLT 38. Bellefeuille Toss up PQ/CAQ 38 BELF 39. Les Plaines Toss up PQ/CAQ 39 LPLA 40. Terrebonne Toss up PQ/CAQ 40 TERR 41. Maskinongé Toss up PQ/CAQ 41 MASK 42. Masson Toss up PQ/CAQ 42 MASS 43. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 43 CHPN 44. Blainville Toss up PQ/CAQ 44 BLAI 45. Rousseau Toss up PQ/CAQ 45 ROUS 46. Duplessis Toss up PQ/CAQ 46 DUPL 47. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 47 CÔDS 48. Repentigny Toss up PQ/CAQ 48 REPE 49. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 49 BROM 50. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 50 ROSE 51. René-Lévesque Toss up PQ/CAQ 51 RENE 52. Charlesbourg Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 52 CHAR 53. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 53 MIRA 54. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS 54 JLES 55. Ungava Toss up PQ/CAQ 55 UNGA 56. Groulx Toss up PQ/CAQ 56 GROU 57. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CAQ 57 LHEB 58. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 58 CHBY 59. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 59 NICO 60. Abitibi-Est Toss up PQ/CAQ 60 ABIE 61. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 61 BEAU 62. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CAQ 62 MLGL 63. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 63 LASS 64. Montarville Leaning CAQ 64 MTRV 65. Taschereau QS leaning 65 TASH 66. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning 66 HOMA 67. Laval-des-Rapides Toss up LIB/PQ 67 LVDR 68. Abitibi-Ouest Leaning CAQ 68 ABIO 69. La Prairie Leaning CAQ 69 LAPR 70. Trois-Rivières Leaning CAQ 70 TRIV 71. Borduas Leaning CAQ 71 BORD 72. Iberville Leaning CAQ 72 IBER 73. Orford Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 73 ORFO 74. Vanier-Les Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 74 VALR 75. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 75 HUNT 76. Mégantic Leaning CAQ 76 MEGA 77. Richmond Leaning CAQ 77 RCHM 78. Daniel-Johnson Likely CAQ 78 DAJO 79. Lévis Toss up CAQ/CPQ 79 LEVI 80. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ 80 ROUY 81. Granby Likely CAQ 81 GRBY 82. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning 82 LOTF 83. Châteauguay Likely LIB 83 CHAT 84. Sainte-Rose Leaning CAQ 84 STRO 85. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB 85 ANLR 86. Chauveau PCQ likely 86 CHAU 87. Portneuf PCQ likely 87 PORT 88. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 88 SMSJ 89. Montmorency PCQ leaning 89 MOMO 90. Fabre Likely LIB 90 FABR 91. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up CAQ/CPQ 91 CHCH 92. Gatineau Leaning LIB 92 GATI 93. Vimont-Auteuil Leaning LIB 93 VIMO 94. Mille-Îles Likely LIB 94 MILI 95. La Peltrie PCQ likely 95 LAPE 96. Soulanges Likely LIB 96 SOUL 97. Chapleau Likely CAQ 97 CHAP 98. Papineau Likely CAQ 98 PAPI 99. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 99 LAPO 100. Gouin QS safe 100 GOUI 101. Mercier QS safe 101 MERC 102. Bellechasse PCQ safe 102 BELL 103. La Pinière Safe LIB 103 LAPI 104. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 104 BEAN 105. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 105 VAUD 106. Viau Safe LIB 106 VIAU 107. Hull Safe LIB 107 HULL 108. Verdun Likely LIB 108 VERD 109. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 109 MROU 110. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 110 BOUS 111. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely 111 BEAS 112. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 112 LAUD 113. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 113 SHSA 114. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 114 JMVI 115. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 115 STLR 116. Marquette Safe LIB 116 MARQ 117. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 117 MARG 118. LaFontaine Safe LIB 118 LAFO 119. Acadie Safe LIB 119 ACAD 120. Chomedey Safe LIB 120 CHOM 121. Pontiac Safe LIB 121 PONT 122. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 122 WSTL 123. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 123 NODG 124. Nelligan Safe LIB 124 NELL 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 125 DAMC 126. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 126 JACA 127. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 127 BALD 338Canada Quebec projection Updated August 28, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis
Pascal Bérubé
 PQ Safe PQ
2.
Îles-de-la-Madeleine
Joël Arseneau
 PQ Safe PQ
3.
Camille-Laurin
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
 PQ Safe PQ
4.
Bonaventure
Catherine Blouin
 CA Safe PQ
5.
Rimouski
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
 C Safe PQ
6.
Gaspé
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
 CA Safe PQ
7.
Pointe-aux-Trembles
Chantal Rouleau
 CA Safe PQ
8.
Lac-Saint-Jean
Eric Girard
 CA Safe PQ
9.
Marie-Victorin
Shirley Dorismond
 CA Safe PQ
10.
Joliette
François St-Louis
 CA Safe PQ
11.
Saint-Jean
Louis Lemieux
 CA Likely PQ
12.
Taillon
Lionel Carmant
 CA Likely PQ
13.
Chicoutimi
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
 PQ Likely PQ
14.
Roberval
Nancy Guillemette
 CA Likely PQ
15.
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
Kariane Bourassa
 CA Likely PQ
16.
Prévost
Sonia Bélanger
 CA Likely PQ
17.
Argenteuil
Agnès Grondin
 CA Likely PQ
18.
Labelle
Chantal Jeannotte
 CA Likely PQ
19.
Dubuc
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
 I Likely PQ
20.
Jonquière
Yannick Gagnon
 CA Likely PQ
21.
Bertrand
France-Élaine Duranceau
 CA Likely PQ
22.
Jean-Talon
Pascal Paradis
 PQ Likely PQ
23.
Vachon
Ian Lafrenière
 CA Likely PQ
24.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Likely PQ
25.
Richelieu
Jean-Bernard Émond
 CA Likely PQ
26.
Berthier
Caroline Proulx
 CA Likely PQ
27.
Sanguinet
Christine Fréchette
 CA Likely PQ
28.
Saint-Jérôme
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
 I Leaning PQ
29.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning PQ
30.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Leaning PQ
31.
Saint-Hyacinthe
Chantal Soucy
 CA Leaning PQ
32.
Arthabaska-L’Érable
Alex Boissonneault
 PQ Leaning PQ
33.
Deux-Montagnes
Benoit Charette
 CA Leaning PQ
34.
Verchères
Suzanne Roy
 CA Leaning PQ
35.
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice
Marie-Louise Tardif
 CA Leaning PQ
36.
Drummond–Bois-Francs
Sébastien Schneeberger
 CA Leaning PQ
37.
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques
Amélie Dionne
 CA Leaning PQ
38.
Bellefeuille
Vacant
 Toss up PQ/CAQ
39.
Les Plaines
Lucie Lecours
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
40.
Terrebonne
Catherine Gentilcore
 PQ Toss up PQ/CAQ
41.
Maskinongé
Simon Allaire
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
42.
Masson
Mathieu Lemay
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
43.
Champlain
Sonia LeBel
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
44.
Blainville
Mario Laframboise
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
45.
Rousseau
Louis-Charles Thouin
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
46.
Duplessis
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
47.
Côte-du-Sud
Mathieu Rivest
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
48.
Repentigny
Pascale Déry
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
49.
Brome-Missisquoi
Isabelle Charest
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
50.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
51.
René-Lévesque
Yves Montigny
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
52.
Charlesbourg
Jonatan Julien
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
53.
Mirabel
Sylvie D’Amours
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
54.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
55.
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
56.
Groulx
Eric Girard
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
57.
Louis-Hébert
Geneviève Guilbault
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
58.
Chambly
Jean-François Roberge
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
59.
Nicolet-Bécancour
Donald Martel
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
60.
Abitibi-Est
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
 I Toss up PQ/CAQ
61.
Beauharnois
Claude Reid
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
62.
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie
Vacant
 Toss up PQ/CAQ
63.
L’Assomption
François Legault
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
64.
Montarville
Nathalie Roy
 CA Leaning CAQ
65.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS leaning
66.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS leaning
67.
Laval-des-Rapides
Céline Haytayan
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ
68.
Abitibi-Ouest
Suzanne Blais
 CA Leaning CAQ
69.
La Prairie
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
 I Leaning CAQ
70.
Trois-Rivières
Jean Boulet
 CA Leaning CAQ
71.
Borduas
Simon Jolin-Barrette
 CA Leaning CAQ
72.
Iberville
Audrey Bogemans
 CA Leaning CAQ
73.
Orford
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
 I Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
74.
Vanier-Les Rivières
Mario Asselin
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
75.
Huntingdon
Carole Mallette
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
76.
Mégantic
François Jacques
 CA Leaning CAQ
77.
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Leaning CAQ
78.
Daniel-Johnson
André Lamontagne
 CA Likely CAQ
79.
Lévis
Bernard Drainville
 CA Toss up CAQ/CPQ
80.
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Likely CAQ
81.
Granby
François Bonnardel
 CA Likely CAQ
82.
Lotbinière-Frontenac
Isabelle Lecours
 CA PCQ leaning
83.
Châteauguay
Marie-Belle Gendron
 CA Likely LIB
84.
Sainte-Rose
Christopher Skeete
 CA Leaning CAQ
85.
Anjou–Louis-Riel
Karine Boivin Roy
 CA Likely LIB
86.
Chauveau
Sylvain Lévesque
 CA PCQ likely
87.
Portneuf
Vincent Caron
 CA PCQ likely
88.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
89.
Montmorency
Jean-François Simard
 CA PCQ leaning
90.
Fabre
Alice Abou-Khalil
 CA Likely LIB
91.
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
Martine Biron
 CA Toss up CAQ/CPQ
92.
Gatineau
Robert Bussière
 CA Leaning LIB
93.
Vimont-Auteuil
Valérie Schmaltz
 CA Leaning LIB
94.
Mille-Îles
Virginie Dufour
 L Likely LIB
95.
La Peltrie
Éric Caire
 CA PCQ likely
96.
Soulanges
Marilyne Picard
 CA Likely LIB
97.
Chapleau
Mathieu Lévesque
 CA Likely CAQ
98.
Papineau
Mathieu Lacombe
 CA Likely CAQ
99.
Pierre-Laporte
Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
 I Safe LIB