Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: August 28, 2026

The Road to 64 Seats

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Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
Abitibi-Est Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]	I	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Abitibi-Ouest Suzanne Blais	CA	Leaning CAQ
Acadie André A. Morin	L	Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Karine Boivin Roy	CA	Likely LIB
Argenteuil Agnès Grondin	CA	Likely PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Alex Boissonneault	PQ	Leaning PQ
Beauce-Nord Luc Provençal	CA	PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud Samuel Poulin	CA	PCQ likely
Beauharnois Claude Reid	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Bellechasse Stéphanie Lachance	CA	PCQ safe
Berthier Caroline Proulx	CA	Likely PQ
Bertrand France-Élaine Duranceau	CA	Likely PQ
Blainville Mario Laframboise	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Bonaventure Catherine Blouin	CA	Safe PQ
Borduas Simon Jolin-Barrette	CA	Leaning CAQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Madwa-Nika Cadet	L	Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon	PQ	Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Isabelle Charest	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Chambly Jean-François Roberge	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Champlain Sonia LeBel	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Chapleau Mathieu Lévesque	CA	Likely CAQ
Charlesbourg Jonatan Julien	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Kariane Bourassa	CA	Likely PQ
Châteauguay Marie-Belle Gendron	CA	Likely LIB
Chauveau Sylvain Lévesque	CA	PCQ likely
Chicoutimi Marie-Karlynn Laflamme	PQ	Likely PQ
Chomedey Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]	I	Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Martine Biron	CA	Toss up CAQ/CPQ
Côte-du-Sud Mathieu Rivest	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
D’Arcy-McGee Elisabeth Prass	L	Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Benoit Charette	CA	Leaning PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Sébastien Schneeberger	CA	Leaning PQ
Dubuc François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely PQ
Duplessis Kateri Champagne Jourdain	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Fabre Alice Abou-Khalil	CA	Likely LIB
Gaspé Stéphane Sainte-Croix	CA	Safe PQ
Gatineau Robert Bussière	CA	Leaning LIB
Gouin Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois	QS	QS safe
Granby François Bonnardel	CA	Likely CAQ
Groulx Eric Girard	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Alexandre Leduc	QS	QS leaning
Hull Suzanne Tremblay	CA	Safe LIB
Huntingdon Carole Mallette	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Iberville Audrey Bogemans	CA	Leaning CAQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Joël Arseneau	PQ	Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Greg Kelley	L	Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Sol Zanetti	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
Jean-Talon Pascal Paradis	PQ	Likely PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Filomena Rotiroti	L	Safe LIB
Daniel-Johnson André Lamontagne	CA	Likely CAQ
Joliette François St-Louis	CA	Safe PQ
Jonquière Yannick Gagnon	CA	Likely PQ
L’Assomption François Legault	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
La Peltrie Éric Caire	CA	PCQ likely
La Pinière Linda Caron	L	Safe LIB
La Prairie Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]	I	Leaning CAQ
Labelle Chantal Jeannotte	CA	Likely PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Eric Girard	CA	Safe PQ
LaFontaine Marc Tanguay	L	Safe LIB
Pierre-Laporte Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Andrès Fontecilla	QS	Toss up LIB/QS
Laval-des-Rapides Céline Haytayan	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Marie-Louise Tardif	CA	Leaning PQ
Les Plaines Lucie Lecours	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Lévis Bernard Drainville	CA	Toss up CAQ/CPQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac Isabelle Lecours	CA	PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Geneviève Guilbault	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Fred Beauchemin	L	Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Shirley Dorismond	CA	Safe PQ
Marquette Enrico Ciccone	L	Safe LIB
Maskinongé Simon Allaire	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Masson Mathieu Lemay	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Pascal Bérubé	PQ	Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Haroun Bouazzi	QS	Leaning PQ
Mégantic François Jacques	CA	Leaning CAQ
Mercier Ruba Ghazal	QS	QS safe
Mille-Îles Virginie Dufour	L	Likely LIB
Mirabel Sylvie D’Amours	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mont-Royal–Outremont Michelle Setlakwe	L	Safe LIB
Montarville Nathalie Roy	CA	Leaning CAQ
Montmorency Jean-François Simard	CA	PCQ leaning
Nelligan Monsef Derraji	L	Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Donald Martel	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Désirée McGraw	L	Safe LIB
Orford Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]	I	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Papineau Mathieu Lacombe	CA	Likely CAQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles Chantal Rouleau	CA	Safe PQ
Pontiac André Fortin	L	Safe LIB
Portneuf Vincent Caron	CA	PCQ likely
Prévost Sonia Bélanger	CA	Likely PQ
René-Lévesque Yves Montigny	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Repentigny Pascale Déry	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Richelieu Jean-Bernard Émond	CA	Likely PQ
Richmond André Bachand	CA	Leaning CAQ
Rimouski Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]	C	Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Amélie Dionne	CA	Leaning PQ
Robert-Baldwin Brigitte Garceau	L	Safe LIB
Roberval Nancy Guillemette	CA	Likely PQ
Rosemont Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]	I	Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau Louis-Charles Thouin	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Daniel Bernard	CA	Likely CAQ
Saint-François Geneviève Hébert	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Guillaume Cliche-Rivard	QS	Toss up LIB/QS
Saint-Hyacinthe Chantal Soucy	CA	Leaning PQ
Saint-Jean Louis Lemieux	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Jérôme Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]	I	Leaning PQ
Saint-Laurent Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]	I	Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques Manon Massé	QS	QS likely
Sainte-Rose Christopher Skeete	CA	Leaning CAQ
Sanguinet Christine Fréchette	CA	Likely PQ
Sherbrooke Christine Labrie	QS	Leaning PQ
Soulanges Marilyne Picard	CA	Likely LIB
Taillon Lionel Carmant	CA	Likely PQ
Taschereau Étienne Grandmont	QS	QS leaning
Terrebonne Catherine Gentilcore	PQ	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Trois-Rivières Jean Boulet	CA	Leaning CAQ
Ungava Denis Lamothe	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Vachon Ian Lafrenière	CA	Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Mario Asselin	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Vaudreuil Marie-Claude Nichols	L	Safe LIB
Verchères Suzanne Roy	CA	Leaning PQ
Verdun Alejandra Zaga-Mendez	QS	Likely LIB
Viau Frantz Benjamin	L	Safe LIB
Vimont-Auteuil Valérie Schmaltz	CA	Leaning LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Jennifer Maccarone	L	Safe LIB
Bellefeuille Vacant		Toss up PQ/CAQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Vacant		Toss up PQ/CAQ